International Climate Conference - Berlin
Climate Change Reconsidered
Update on Climate Science
The conference is based on the fact that the scientific debate is not over and that economic analysis is more important than ever, just days ahead of the 15th UN conference on climate change. The real science and economics of climate change support the view that global warming is not a crisis and that immediate action to reduce emissions is not necessary. This is, in fact, the emerging consensus view of scientists outside the IPCC and most economists outside environmental advocacy groups.
In collaboration with European Institute for Climate and Energy (EIKE), Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow (CFACT), Haus der Zukunft (HdZ), the Liberale Institute of the Stiftung für die Freiheit and Bund Freiheit der Wissenschaft.
Prof. Dr. S. Fred Singer
Christopher Monckton, 3rd Viscount Monckton of Brenchley
Friedrichstraße 103, Berlin
All presentations after 3.00 pm will be simultaneously interpreted: English-German and German-English
Dr. Holger Thuss
European Institute for Climate and Energy (EIKE)
Institute for Free Enterprise (IUF)
Prof. Dr. S. Fred Singer
How Scientific is the IPCC? Report from the NIPCC
Prof. Dr. S. Fred Singer
Climate Change and Science
Christopher Monckton, 3rd Viscount Monckton of Brenchley
Sense and Sensibility of Climate Policy
Prof. Dr. Horst-Joachim Luedecke
Glaciers as Climate Witnesses
University of Innsbruck
Ways to see that sensitivity is low
Dr. Lubos Motl
Physicist and Science Editor
The Impact of Solar Ctivities and Cosmic Rays on the World Climate
Prof. Henrik Svensmark
Centre for Sun-Climate Research des Danish National Space Center
The Proposed Global Sea-Level Rise: Observational Facts vs Modeling
Prof. em. Nils Axel Mörner
Faculty for Paleogeophysic and Geodynamic at the University Stockholm
Russia and Climate Change: Science vs. Policies
Dr. Yevgeni Volk
The Heritage Foundation Moscow Office
Distortion of competition by the EU's climate legislation
Prof. Dr. iur. Markus C. Kerber
Technische Universität Berlin
The previously planned panel session: "Current Global Climate Change Policy's Impact on Science, Economics and Prosperity", will be replaced by the presentations of Prof. Kerber and Dr. Volk
End of the Conference - Buffet, Discussions in Small Groups
Informal Closing Reception
Location: Bar "meliá tapas"
Meet the Night Owls - Climate-Change after Midnight
Location: Berlin Mitte
All presentations between 3.00 pm and 9:00 pm will be simultaneously interpreted: English-German and German-English
About the Speakers
Prof. S. Fred Singer PhD, an atmospheric and space physicist, is one of the world's most respected and widely published experts on climate. He is distinguished research professor at George Mason University and professor emeritus of environmental science at the University of Virginia. He directs the nonprofit Science and Environmental Policy Project, which he founded in 1990 and incorporated in 1992 after retiring from the University of Virginia.
Dr. Singer served as professor of environmental sciences at the University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA (1971-94); distinguished research professor at the Institute for Space Science and Technology, Gainesville, FL, where he was principal investigator for the Cosmic Dust/Orbital Debris Project (1989-94); chief scientist, U.S. Department of Transportation (1987- 89); vice chairman of the National Advisory Committee for Oceans and Atmosphere (NACOA) (1981-86); deputy assistant administrator for policy, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (1970-71); deputy assistant secretary for water quality and research, U.S. Department of the Interior (1967- 70); founding dean of the School of Environmental and Planetary Sciences, University of Miami (1964-67); first director of the National Weather Satellite Service (1962-64); and director of the Center for Atmospheric and Space Physics, University of Maryland (1953-62).
Dr. Singer did his undergraduate work in electrical engineering at Ohio State University and holds a Ph.D. in physics from Princeton University.
Dr. Singer has published more than 200 technical papers in peer-reviewed scientific journals, including EOS: Transactions of the AGU, Journal of Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, Science,Nature, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Geophysical Research Letters, and International Journal of Climatology. His editorial essays and articles have appeared in Cosmos, The Wall Street Journal, New York Times, New Republic, Newsweek, Journal of Commerce, Washington Times, Washington Post, and many other publications. His accomplishments have been featured in front-cover stories appearing in Time, Life, and U.S. News & World Report.
Dr. Singer is author, coauthor, or editor of more than a dozen books and monographs, including Global Effects of Environmental Pollution (Reidel, 1970), Is There an Optimum Level of Population? (McGraw-Hill, 1971), Free Market Energy (Universe Books, 1984), Global Climate Change (Paragon House, 1989), The Greenhouse Debate Continued: An Analysis and Critique of the IPCC Climate Assessment (ICS Press, 1992), Hot Talk Cold Science -- Global Warming's Unfinished Debate (Independent Institute, 1997, 1999), Climate Policy -- From Rio to Kyoto (Hoover Institution, 2000), Unstoppable Global Warming -- Every 1,500 Years (Rowman & Littlefield, 2007, revised ed. 2008), and Nature, Not Human Activity, Rules the Climate: The Summary for Policymakers of the Report of the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (Heartland Institute, 2008).
Dr. Singer is an elected Fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), American Geophysical Union, American Physical Society, and American Institute for Aeronautics and Astronautics. He was elected to the AAAS Council and served on the Committee on Council Affairs, and as Section Secretary. In 1997, NASA presented Dr. Singer with a commendation and cash award "for important contributions to space research."
Dr. Singer has given hundreds of lectures and seminars on global warming, including to the science faculties at Stanford University, University of California-Berkeley, California Institute of Technology, State University of New York-Stony Brook, University of South Florida-St. Petersburg, University of Connecticut, University of Colorado, Imperial College-London, Copenhagen University, University of Rome, and Tel Aviv University. He has also given invited seminars at Brookhaven National Laboratory, the Max Planck Institute for Extra-Terrestrial Physics in Munich, the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg, and the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado.
Dr. Singer has been a pioneer in many ways. At the Applied Physics Laboratory of Johns Hopkins University, he participated in the first experiments using high-altitude research rockets, measuring the energy spectrum of primary cosmic rays and the distribution of stratospheric ozone; he is generally credited with the discovery of the equatorial electrojet current flowing in the ionosphere. In academic science during the 1950s, he published the first studies on subatomic particles trapped in the Earth's magnetic field -- radiation belts, later discovered by James Van Allen.
Dr. Singer was the first to make the correct calculations for using atomic clocks in orbit, contributing to the verification of Einstein's General Theory of Relativity, and now essential in the GPS system of satellite navigation. He also designed satellites and instrumentation for remote sensing of the atmosphere and received a White House Presidential Commendation for this work.
In 1971, Dr. Singer calculated the anthropogenic contribution to atmospheric methane, an important greenhouse gas. He also predicted that methane, once reaching the stratosphere, would transform into water vapor, which could then deplete stratospheric ozone. A few years later, methane levels were indeed found to be rising, and the increase in stratospheric water vapor was confirmed in 1995.
For more information, visit the Web site of the Science and Environmental Policy Project at www.sepp.org.
Lord Christopher Monckton
, Third Viscount Monckton of Brenchley, is chief policy advisor to the Science and Public Policy Institute.
The eldest son of the 2nd Viscount Monckton of Brenchley, Monckton was educated at Harrow School, Churchill College, Cambridge and University College, Cardiff. He joined the Yorkshire Post in 1974 and then worked as a press officer at the Conservative Central Office from 1977-79.
In 1979, he became the editor of the Catholic newspaper, The Universe, and then a managing editor of The Sunday Telegraph's Magazine in 1981. In 1982 he returned to the Conservative offices again, this time as UK Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher's policy advisor, where he served from 1982 to 1986.
While at 10 Downing Street, Lord Monckton gave policy advice on technical issues such as warship hydrodynamics (his work led to his appointment as the youngest Trustee of the Hales Trophy for the Blue Riband of the Atlantic), psephological modeling (predicting the result of the 1983 General Election to within one seat), embryological research, hydrogeology (leading to the award of major financial assistance to a Commonwealth country for the construction of a very successful hydroelectric scheme), public-service investment analysis(leading to savings of tens of billions of pounds), public welfare modeling (his model of the UK tax and benefit system was, at the time, more detailed than the Treasury's economic model, and led to a major simplification of the housing benefit system) and epidemiological analysis.
On leaving 10 Downing Street, Lord Monckton became assistant editor of the newly-formed (and now defunct) newspaper, Today. His final job in journalism was as a consulting editor of the Evening Standard from 1987 -1992.
Monckton has since been a director of his own specialist consultancy company, giving technical advice to corporations and governments. In 1999, he created the eternity puzzle, a geometric puzzle which involved tiling a dodecagon with 209 irregularly shaped polygons called polydrafters. A £1m prize was won after 18 months. By that time, 500,000 puzzles had been sold. A second puzzle, Eternity II, is to be launched in July 2007, with a prize of million.
Monckton has been in the news in recent months due to his scepticism of global warming. In November 2006, he published in The Daily Telegraph a widely publicized article critical of the prevailing climate change opinions. After U.S. Senators Rockefeller and Snowe wrote a letter to the Chief Executive Officer of ExxonMobil asking him to stop funding scientists who reject global warming, Lord Monckton wrote a letter to the senators reminding them of the First Amendment of the U.S. Constitution and calling on them to reverse their position or resign. In February 2007, he published an analysis and summary of the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report on climate change.
Dr Henrik Svensmark
is director of the Center for Sun-Climate Research at the Danish Space Research Institute (DSRI)
, a part of the Danish National Space Center. He previously headed the sun-climate group at DSRI. He held postdoctoral positions in physics at three other organizations: University of California, Berkeley, Nordic Institute for Theoretical Physics, and the Niels Bohr Institute.
In 1997, Svensmark and Eigil Friis-Christensen popularised a theory that linked galactic cosmic rays and global climate change mediated primarily by variations in the intensity of the solar wind, which they have termed cosmoclimatology. He detailed his theory of cosmoclimatology in a paper published in 2007. The Center for Sun-Climate Research at the Danish National Space Institute "investigates the connection between solar activity and climatic changes on Earth".Svensmark and Nigel Calder published a book The Chilling Stars: A New Theory of Climate Change (2007) describing the Cosmoclimatology theory that cosmic rays "have more effect on the climate than manmade CO2":
"During the last 100 years cosmic rays became scarcer because unusually vigorous action by the Sun batted away many of them. Fewer cosmic rays meant fewer clouds-and a warmer world."
Prof Dr Horst-Joachim Lüdecke, is physicist and did extensive research in nuclear phyiscs. During his profesional career in the commercial sector he established numeric computer models for chemical plants and for fluid dynamics in pipelines. He is author of numerous publications in this field. After leaving industry he became Professor for informatics at the University for Applied Science and Economics of the Saarland. Lüdecke authered the book "CO2 und Klimaschutz, Bouvier-Verlag" where he critically assesses efforts to "save the climate". He is member of the European Institute for Climate and Energy (EIKE) where he serves as spokes person.
Dr Luboš Motl
is a Czech theoretical physicist who worked on string theory and conceptual problems of quantum gravity until 2006. He received his master degree from the Charles University in Prague, and his Doctor of Philosophy degree from Rutgers University and has been a Harvard Junior Fellow (2001-2004) and assistant professor (2004-2007) at Harvard University. In July, 2007 he returned to the Czech Republic after leaving Harvard.
He made an important contribution to matrix and nonperturbative string theory, under his advisor, the leading string theorist, Thomas Banks, and has written several papers. Recently he worked on the pp-wave limit of AdS/CFT correspondence; twistor theory and its application to gauge theory with supersymmetry; black hole thermodynamics and the conjectured relevance of quasinormal modes for loop quantum gravity; deconstruction, and other topics. He has a presence on the Internet, where he often participates in discussions supporting string theory against loop quantum gravity.
Motl keeps a blog mainly discussing general science and politics. The blog discusses new discoveries in string theory and theoretical physics, often clarifies commonly discussed physics topics in the popular media, and points out common errors found in `alternative' theories of physics (such as violations of Lorentz invariance, causality, unitarity, etc). He also frequently criticizes alarmism about global warming, as well as criticizing the subset of climate researchers who use inappropriate statistical models, such as incorrect prior probability distributions, in their research.
Prof Nils-Axel Mörner is the former head of the Paleogeophysics and Geodynamics department at Stockholm University and retired in 2005. He was president of the INQUA Commission on Neotectonics (1981-1989) and headed the INTAS (International Association for the promotion of cooperation with scientists from the New Independent States of the former Soviet Union) Project on Geomagnetism and Climate (1997-2003).
He also published books and papers on the interaction among isostacy and eustasy, the oscillating regional eustatic curve of NW Europe, the changing geoid concept, the redefinition of the concept of eustasy, the dynamic-rotational redistribution of oceanic water masses, and the interchange of angular momentum between the hydrosphere and solid Earth. His publications span over thirty years.
Dr. Yevgeny Volk. A native of Russia, Yevgeny Volk is an international affairs and economics expert who has been heading Heritage's Russian office since 1994. He serves as a liaison between Heritage and Russian freedom champions struggling to arrest their country's retreat to a totalitarian rule. Volk is former deputy director of the Russian Institute for Strategic Studies and previously was advisor to the Russian Supreme Soviet. He also served with the Soviet Foreign Ministry. Volk holds Ph.D. in history from the Institute of the World Economy and International Relations in Moscow. He is a graduate of the Moscow State University of International Relations.
Prof. Dr. iur. Markus C. Kerber teaches at the Technische Universität Berlin, Institute of Political Economy and Economic Law and at the Institut d'Études Politiques in Paris, France. He is a european econic law and policy expert and teaches public finance and economics of national defense. His environmental and climate policy studies are focused on the impact of european climate police instruments on business competitiveness.
Dr Gernot Patzelt studied geography and meteorology at the University of Innsbruck, and became head of the Institute für Hochgebirgsforschung (Institute for Alpine Research) and the Alpinen Forschungsstelle Obergurgl which he led until his retirement in 2004. During these 40 years he did extensive research on glaciers and climate, with special emphasis on regional aspects. His extensive research expeditions in the Himalayas, Great Pamir, Mt. Kenya and Antarctica, have provided the requisite foundations for his major field of research - alpine conditions - and have enabled him to draw comparisons of global relevance.
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Frédéric Bastiat (1801-1850)
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